Ever
hear of the Methuselah Star? Just a few years ago it was thought to be at least
2 billion years older than the Universe. Yup. A genuine paradox that gave rise
to numerous mind-bending TOEs (Theories of Everything). Then extensive research
revised all the measurements that had dated the star, and good ol’ Cartesian
logic was saved. Just an example of the kind of thing science runs into all the
time as it leaps to generalizations.
Take
real temperature measurements made almost a century ago. Does NOAA cook the
books by revising actual historical records? NOAA doesn’t deny that they adjust
raw data with programmed algorithms, which dissenting scientists claim is done
to exaggerate the warming trend – which it does. In other words, they revise
the past so that it will fit what they predict will happen in the future. There.
Now they fit the theoretical, so say the dissenters. In at least one case (1936
data), NOAA had to backtrack in the uproar. And the why – that’s very important
too. Especially if it fits political agendas. It may certainly be that the
human fraction of the already small 0.04% CO2 in our atmosphere is the stick
that breaks the camel’s back, and a reason to upend the $100 trillion global
economy, but should that have been the eager premise even before more likely
causes got attention?
Oceans
cover 70% of our planet and have 1100 times more heat capacity than our
atmosphere but we’ve only explored 5% of them. You might think that should make
oceans and currents the major focus of climate study. Or maybe we should have
put the emphasis on the sun itself. But naw. It’s hard to blame ocean currents
and complex solar cycles on cow farts and cars. Easier to stay focused on the
air and politicize it. How can you give evil white men and the world’s leading
superpower their come-uppance unless you tear down their technological advantages
in the name of globalization? And pollution coming overwhelmingly out of Asia?
Careful, careful…blame, you know. Hot potato.
Which
is tragic, because the “never-waste-a-good-crisis” manipulators who cry “wolf!”
while seizing on the politics of world order in every calamity discredit real science.
Our dynamic planet has seen things like the sun’s maunder minimum and a Little
Ice Age as recently as a few hundred years ago, before the industrial
revolution. Cultures like the Vikings and the Mayans have disappeared owing to
natural climate cycles. Blurring the current climate trends with political
agendas effectively undermines confidence in any actions that might mitigate a climate
crisis, no matter the causes.
Do
I love science? You betcha. Science is cause and effect, empirical
confirmations of rational explanations. And the beautiful thing about it is
that it constantly questions itself and revises accordingly. That’s how we
escaped the Dark Ages. That’s how we stopped crippling babies with thalidomide.
There really is no such thing as settled dogma. And if that offends your faith
in one man-made religion or another, just think of science as uncovering God’s
methods, as I do. Time, space, quantum et al, sooner or later all discovery
becomes paradoxical. How can time and space begin? Begin where? When? In what
space-time frame is where and when inserted? Ultimately you are forced into
faith in something from nothing. Utterly irrational. So, you get to have your
cake and eat it too.
I
was about halfway through writing this Sullygram when a West Coast friend of
mine sent me a rather more intellectual article on the politicalization of
science she thought might interest me. Though that excellent piece in the Skeptical
Inquirer deals with six different areas than what I’ve written about here, it
echoes thoughts I’ve long had and touched on elsewhere. I recommend it. You can
find it by googling the title “The Ideological Subversion of Biology” in the
July/August issue. In particular, I love its term “radical egalitarianism” used
to describe the insanity of our times.
Let
me close out this Sullygram with a little fun I had on FB. Here’s something I
posted, followed by some photos that connect with it:
While
you snuggled in the Land of Nod last night with your sheep all counted,
sheered, and woven into dreams, us night owls traded stories about the
strangest places we’ve slept. Mine included: a jumbled causeway of stone blocks
over Lake Erie with waves occasionally exploding between the seams, three
nights in a Presidential suite in San Diego, a week on the streets of NY at the
Olympic Trials where I participated in two sports (and qualified in nothin’), a
year in an old man’s hotel in Detroit when I was a teenager, Greta Garbo’s cozy
casita for Glenn Frey’s 3-day 50th birthday bash at La Quinta,
sleeping in the open woods at night here in Minnesota, one night in a woman’s
dormitory in Ann Arbor, a week alone (except for mosquitoes and tarantulas) in
a sweltering bunkhouse outside Villa Esfuerza in the Dominican Republic, the
deck of a swimming pool at the Nationals in Chicago, another night begun in a
park in San Juan until a sailor was killed with a machete and thenceforth to
the catwalk of the Caribe-Hilton Hotel where I found out years later a friend
proposed to his fiancée…
Photos
below: #1 switching from ski poles to hiking poles; #2 staying in Greta Garbo’s
casita at Glenn Frey’s b’day party; #3 CJ, Sean and Sully in San Diego. The remaining
photos are from a mission trip a decade ago to help build a girls’ school in
one of the poorest districts in the Western hemisphere: #4-5 typical shanty
dwellings in Villa Esfuerza; #6 the school work-site; #7-14 in and around the
construction area; #15 Sully shaving his head in the rain; #16 little Manuel,
always there waiting to be hugged when we arrived to start work in the
mornings…
Thomas "Sully" Sullivan